How close are we to creating an intelligence that passes the Turing Test?

Percent	Votes	Options
1%	3	By 2001
10%	24	Within 5 years
48%	119	Within 10 years
20%	50	Within 50 years
7%	18	Within 100 years
8%	21	Never (consciousness requires QM soul)
6%	15	Is that a bicycle race?